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Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends

The problem of employment in the informal sector of the economy escalated during the pandemic, post-covid recovery and, especially, in the period of sanctions. As an interdisciplinary field of research in the humanitarian, socio-economic, information and mathematical spheres, issues of...

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Главные авторы: Kunitsyna, N. N., Куницына, Н. Н., Dyudikova, E. I., Дюдикова, Е. И.
Формат: Статья
Язык:English
Опубликовано: The Russian Academy of Sciences 2024
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Online-ссылка:https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29353
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spelling ir-123456789-293532025-03-06T12:40:33Z Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends Kunitsyna, N. N. Куницына, Н. Н. Dyudikova, E. I. Дюдикова, Е. И. Informal employment Individual effects model Fixed effects model Panel data Labor market Unemployment Hidden employment Shadow employment The problem of employment in the informal sector of the economy escalated during the pandemic, post-covid recovery and, especially, in the period of sanctions. As an interdisciplinary field of research in the humanitarian, socio-economic, information and mathematical spheres, issues of employment, unemployment, social benefits are increasingly resonating in modern publications. The global framework of the research subject often makes difficult to formalize the processes, especially in the shadow economy. The authors used the panel data analysis to assess the dynamics of employment in the informal sector and the causes of negative trends in the post-pandemic period. The number of model explanatory variables for the period 2010–2021 was 84 with subsequent cutoff and reduction to 32 parameters. To compile a panel data the authors used the official information from Rosstat and information obtained by expert surveys. During the study the scientists create the models of combined regression, model with fixed effects, and model with individual, including random, effects. As a result the authors obtained the ratio “employment in the informal sector — the level of hidden economic activity”. The important applied relevance of the research is the possibility to generate control, both at the state and economic level, in terms of the identified reasons for the growth of employment in the informal sector in order to reduce their negative impact. 2024-12-11T07:51:21Z 2024-12-11T07:51:21Z 2024 Статья Kunitsyna, N. N., Dyudikova, E. I., Lazba, F. A. Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends // EKONOMIKA I MATEMATICESKIE METODY-ECONOMICS AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS. - 2024. - 60 (1). - рр. 46-58. - DOI: 10.31857/S0424738824010047 https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29353 en EKONOMIKA I MATEMATICESKIE METODY application/pdf The Russian Academy of Sciences
institution СКФУ
collection Репозиторий
language English
topic Informal employment
Individual effects model
Fixed effects model
Panel data
Labor market
Unemployment
Hidden employment
Shadow employment
spellingShingle Informal employment
Individual effects model
Fixed effects model
Panel data
Labor market
Unemployment
Hidden employment
Shadow employment
Kunitsyna, N. N.
Куницына, Н. Н.
Dyudikova, E. I.
Дюдикова, Е. И.
Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
description The problem of employment in the informal sector of the economy escalated during the pandemic, post-covid recovery and, especially, in the period of sanctions. As an interdisciplinary field of research in the humanitarian, socio-economic, information and mathematical spheres, issues of employment, unemployment, social benefits are increasingly resonating in modern publications. The global framework of the research subject often makes difficult to formalize the processes, especially in the shadow economy. The authors used the panel data analysis to assess the dynamics of employment in the informal sector and the causes of negative trends in the post-pandemic period. The number of model explanatory variables for the period 2010–2021 was 84 with subsequent cutoff and reduction to 32 parameters. To compile a panel data the authors used the official information from Rosstat and information obtained by expert surveys. During the study the scientists create the models of combined regression, model with fixed effects, and model with individual, including random, effects. As a result the authors obtained the ratio “employment in the informal sector — the level of hidden economic activity”. The important applied relevance of the research is the possibility to generate control, both at the state and economic level, in terms of the identified reasons for the growth of employment in the informal sector in order to reduce their negative impact.
format Статья
author Kunitsyna, N. N.
Куницына, Н. Н.
Dyudikova, E. I.
Дюдикова, Е. И.
author_facet Kunitsyna, N. N.
Куницына, Н. Н.
Dyudikova, E. I.
Дюдикова, Е. И.
author_sort Kunitsyna, N. N.
title Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
title_short Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
title_full Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
title_fullStr Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
title_full_unstemmed Informal sector employment: Reasons for negative trends
title_sort informal sector employment: reasons for negative trends
publisher The Russian Academy of Sciences
publishDate 2024
url https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29353
work_keys_str_mv AT kunitsynann informalsectoremploymentreasonsfornegativetrends
AT kunicynann informalsectoremploymentreasonsfornegativetrends
AT dyudikovaei informalsectoremploymentreasonsfornegativetrends
AT dûdikovaei informalsectoremploymentreasonsfornegativetrends
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