Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis

This article extends the array of tools available for the analysis and advancement of structural policies using dynamic inter- sectoral balance, expressed in the form of a system of ordinary differential equations. This development became achievable following the publication of the authors' met...

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Главные авторы:	Toroptsev, E. L., Торопцев, Е. Л., Gudieva, N. G., Гудиева, Н. Г.
Формат:	Статья
Язык:	Russian
Опубликовано:	The Russian Academy of Sciences 2024
Темы:	Dynamic input- output balance Digitization Optimization Calibration Matrix of intersectorals inertialities
Online-ссылка:	https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29364
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spelling	ir-123456789-293642025-03-06T12:40:14Z Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis Toroptsev, E. L. Торопцев, Е. Л. Gudieva, N. G. Гудиева, Н. Г. Dynamic input- output balance Digitization Optimization Calibration Matrix of intersectorals inertialities This article extends the array of tools available for the analysis and advancement of structural policies using dynamic inter- sectoral balance, expressed in the form of a system of ordinary differential equations. This development became achievable following the publication of the authors' methods for digitizing and calibrating such a structural model, thereby transforming it from a set of "purely theoretical constructs" into a set of computational and pragmatically valuable models. Formally, the digitization process for the model involves the introduction and computation of the eigen (intra- industry) and mutual (inter- industry) inertia matrices, the elements of which are time-dependent. These matrices substitute the conventional incremental capital intensity matrix within the model. It is worth noting that, unlike other scientific summaries, the matrix of incremental capital intensity is nowhere to be found in global statistics. No statistical institute worldwide develops or publishes it for any economy. The second factor that enhances the practical utility of the model lies in the utilization of the matrix of financial flow coefficients for its calibration. The computations conducted and presented here lead to the conclusion that the model is proficient in providing robust forecasts of gross output in current and comparable prices within the timeframe covered by Rosstat's basic "input-output" tables. In its current format, the model holds potential as a valuable tool for scrutinizing structural changes within the domestic economy and for comparing Russia's economic trends with those of other developed and developing nations. Digitizing it for use at the regional level would enable similar analyses on a mesolevel scale. 2024-12-11T12:49:43Z 2024-12-11T12:49:43Z 2024 Статья Toroptsev, E .L., Kandokhova, M. M., Gudieva, N. G. Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis // EKONOMIKA I MATEMATICESKIE METODY-ECONOMICS AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS. - 2024. - 60(3). - рр. 43 - 53. - DOI: 10.31857/S0424738824030049 https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29364 ru EKONOMIKA I MATEMATICESKIE METODY application/pdf The Russian Academy of Sciences
institution	СКФУ
collection	Репозиторий
language	Russian
topic	Dynamic input- output balance Digitization Optimization Calibration Matrix of intersectorals inertialities
spellingShingle	Dynamic input- output balance Digitization Optimization Calibration Matrix of intersectorals inertialities Toroptsev, E. L. Торопцев, Е. Л. Gudieva, N. G. Гудиева, Н. Г. Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
description	This article extends the array of tools available for the analysis and advancement of structural policies using dynamic inter- sectoral balance, expressed in the form of a system of ordinary differential equations. This development became achievable following the publication of the authors' methods for digitizing and calibrating such a structural model, thereby transforming it from a set of "purely theoretical constructs" into a set of computational and pragmatically valuable models. Formally, the digitization process for the model involves the introduction and computation of the eigen (intra- industry) and mutual (inter- industry) inertia matrices, the elements of which are time-dependent. These matrices substitute the conventional incremental capital intensity matrix within the model. It is worth noting that, unlike other scientific summaries, the matrix of incremental capital intensity is nowhere to be found in global statistics. No statistical institute worldwide develops or publishes it for any economy. The second factor that enhances the practical utility of the model lies in the utilization of the matrix of financial flow coefficients for its calibration. The computations conducted and presented here lead to the conclusion that the model is proficient in providing robust forecasts of gross output in current and comparable prices within the timeframe covered by Rosstat's basic "input-output" tables. In its current format, the model holds potential as a valuable tool for scrutinizing structural changes within the domestic economy and for comparing Russia's economic trends with those of other developed and developing nations. Digitizing it for use at the regional level would enable similar analyses on a mesolevel scale.
format	Статья
author	Toroptsev, E. L. Торопцев, Е. Л. Gudieva, N. G. Гудиева, Н. Г.
author_facet	Toroptsev, E. L. Торопцев, Е. Л. Gudieva, N. G. Гудиева, Н. Г.
author_sort	Toroptsev, E. L.
title	Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
title_short	Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
title_full	Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
title_fullStr	Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
title_full_unstemmed	Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
title_sort	dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis
publisher	The Russian Academy of Sciences
publishDate	2024
url	https://dspace.ncfu.ru/handle/123456789/29364
work_keys_str_mv	AT toroptsevel dynamicinputoutputbalanceasatoolforstructuralpolicyanalysis AT toropcevel dynamicinputoutputbalanceasatoolforstructuralpolicyanalysis AT gudievang dynamicinputoutputbalanceasatoolforstructuralpolicyanalysis AT gudievang dynamicinputoutputbalanceasatoolforstructuralpolicyanalysis
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Dynamic input-output balance as a tool for structural policy analysis

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